Shaping Future Urbanization: A Systematic Review of Predictive and Preventive LUC Indicators for Sustainable New City Development Achmad Ghozali, Walter Timo de Vries Urban Science, 2025 New city developments (NCDs) have significantly increased around the globe, especially in developing countries, to accommodate population growth and foster economic development. However, the uncertain footprint of NCDs often introduces trade-offs between urban expansion and sustainability, underscoring the need for integrated land use change (LUC) management. This study adopts a system-level perspective on LUC modeling to identify indicators and formulate a predictive–preventive framework for sustainable urbanization in NCDs. A bibliometric and Systematic Literature Review (SLR) of Scopus-indexed studies was conducted to extract and classify relevant indicators. The results identified fifty-six predictive indicators across five domains—physical geography, climate environment, socio-economic, urban attraction, and policy and regulation—and two preventive dimensions—environmental sustainability and urban inequality. Predictive indicators reveal how internal urban dynamics drive land expansion, while preventive indicators address ecological vulnerability, spatial equity, and sustainability constraints. This cohesive framework enhances understanding of interrelated factors in urbanization across both city-scale and regional contexts. These insights support more adaptive and proactive land management strategies, have the potential to improve future LUC simulation accuracy, and provide theoretical and practical guidance for sustainable NDC.
Spatial Characterization of Flood Intensity over the Drainage Condition of East Sempaja Village, Samarinda Achmad Ghozali, Ayu Fitriana Fitriana Rizki, Umar Mustofa Jurnal Presipitasi, 2024 The flood events frequently impacting Samarinda City have not yet been thoroughly examined based on their intensity, particularly in the most flood-prone village in the city, East Sempaja Village. This paper employed a rigorous methodology, including K-means cluster analysis and Getis-Ord G* statistics, to reveal spatial clustering patterns based on flood intensity and residential drainage conditions in East Sempaja. The Spearman correlation was determined to identify the relationship between both factors. The present study demonstrates that using community-derived data can enhance flood disaster mitigation strategies, particularly within regions with insufficient data availability. The analysis shows that most neighborhood areas in East Sempaja have moderate to high flood intensity levels. The areas with high flood intensity are spread across the North. This paper confirms that the condition of drainage channels has a positive, yet weak, significant relationship with the level of flood intensity. Thus, optimizing drainage channels is still relevant in managing flood disasters in East Sempaja, providing practical strategies for a pressing issue.
Embracing the digital era: The integration of urban design management in smart city concepts on Kertek Urban Area G L Wungo, A Ghozali, L F Rahmanida, A N Nahari, D N Noor Wahyono Iop Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science, 2024 Kertek District is strategically located in Wonosobo Regency, which passes through the Ajibarang-Secang distribution route, becoming a center for agricultural commodities and trade. This condition has not faced the challenges of increasing resource consumption, energy needs, emissions, infrastructure management, and environmental pollution. Therefore, there is a need for a smart city that aims to utilize technology and data analysis to improve urban infrastructure and services. This research investigates the impact of the smart city concept on urban design management and its effectiveness in improving the quality and efficiency of public services while reducing costs and resource consumption. Exploration of the role of technology, interdisciplinary collaboration, and data analysis in planning, designing, implementing, and deploying intelligent solutions for urban infrastructure and services, including environmental, financial, and social aspects. The research method uses a quantitative and qualitative approach such as numerical data, stakeholder surveys, smart city case studies, or literature analysis. The results of the research show recommendations such as the need for transportation integration, digital platforms for Transparency of Government Information Services, Environmental Management, Sanitation Management and Drainage Systems, Education and Skills Development Programs, Development of Innovation in Agriculture to improve the welfare of Kertek District.
The effectiveness of urban mobility restriction policies on the spatio-Temporal pattern of COVID-19 incidence in Balikpapan City A Ghozali, D N Tufail, P R Girsang Iop Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science, 2022 In 2020, the first year of the Covid-19 pandemic provided a valuable experience for city policymakers. As one of the epicenters of Covid-19 in East Kalimantan, Balikpapan City has also made various efforts to suppress the transmission of Covid-19, mainly focused on minimizing the urban mobility rate. This study was conducted to track the effectiveness of policies applied to the number of Covid-19 active cases in Balikpapan City. This study performs the Spatio-temporal Getis-Ord Gi* statistic to determine the characteristics of changes in the concentration of the Covid-19 active cases and calculate the correlation of the time data. The results showed that during the first year of pandemic and application of the travel restriction policy, hotspots were always formed in the potential economic sub-districts, which became the business center of Balikpapan City. In addition, the implementation of significant travel restriction policies has a strong correlation with the tendency to decrease the active case number of COVID-19 in each policy issue date.
Development of Agritourism Potential as an Alternative Form to Preservation of Rural Environment in Samboja East Kalimantan Virgilia Anna Gustiniani Pakalla, Achmad Ghozali Iop Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science, 2022 The relocation of the capital city of Republic Indonesia to East Kalimantan, which is called Nusantara, will certainly increase resident migration to East Kalimantan. This relocation will affect the tourism activity needs. Although, it can also threaten the existence of water system, flora and fauna, pollution and other environmental damage. Samboja, one of Subdistrict of Kutai Kartanegara, is the buffer zones of Nusantara. Samboja has a great potential for developing agritourism because it has the largest land area and amount of agricultural production in Kutai Kartanegara. The combination of agriculture and tourism or called agritourism is a form of creative economic development in the agricultural sector that provides added value to agribusiness and also can contribute to the rural environment preservation. Therefore, this research was conducted to determine the agritourism development in Samboja by identify the agritourism potential using scoring analysis with the 4A approach, namely Attraction. Accessibility, Amenity and Ancillary. The results of this research showed that the potential attractions in Samboja Subdistrict are agricultural land, various agricultural commodities, and agricultural activities carried out in the forms of planting, management, and harvesting. Then, the villages with high potential classification for agritourism development are Handil Baru, Sanipah and Karya Jaya.
Microplastic Distribution in Seawater and Sediment on Kampung Atas Air, Balikpapan Asri Prasaningtyas, Marita Wulandari, Achmad Ghozali Iop Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science, 2021 Kampung Atas Air at Margasari Village, West Balikpapan Sub-District on Balikpapan City is a densely populated settlement where most of the houses are located on the tidal land of the sea. That location is an area that has a high potential for microplastic pollution due to existing settlement activities. Microplastic is plastic particles that smaller than 5 mm in size sourced from large or macro-sized industrial, household, and plastic weathering activities. Microplastic samples were taken from two media, water and sediment. Microplastic identification was carried out under a microscope with 10 times magnification. The result of this observation shown 4 types of microplastic, which are films, fragments, fibers, and granules. Fiber is the most common type found in this observation. It came from community activities such as fishing and washing clothes.
Factors influencing adequate sanitation on domestic wastewater management of black water type in Margasari Village R Muliana, A Ghozali, Ariyaningsih Iop Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science, 2021 Sanitation on the domestic wastewater management (WWM) component was a severe concern in the slums of Margasari Village, which has two characteristics area, administrative neighborhood above water, and neighborhood on land. The universal access to adequate sanitation was only 35.8%. Therefore, Margasari Village belonged in the priority zone of sanitation risk at a very high level for domestic wastewater problems. The purpose of this research was to identify important factors to increase the adequateness sanitation on the black water domestic WWM in Margasari Village. The questionnaires spread on 345 household samples taken at 32 neighborhoods as the data collection method. Identification factors had done through two stages of analysis. The comparative descriptive analysis used to determine characteristics of the domestic WWM black water type obtained the findings that the neighborhood above water had low users percentage of adequate black water domestic WWM. Second, binary logistic regression analysis was to identify the factors that affect the adequatess domestic WWM of black water type, four significant factors encompassing household income, knowledge level, financing willingness, and ease of technology. Significant factors not only increased adequate sanitation, but also contribute to the development of appropriate environmental and public health policies related to slums settlement.
Effect of concentration double layer ZnO/ZnO:Ag on optical and photocatalytic properties Sheilla Rully Anggita, Achmad Ghozali, Hamdan Hadi Kusuma Iop Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science, 2021 ZnO is a semiconductor material that advantages in various applications, especially for photocatalysts. The catalytic activity of ZnO is much better than other materials, because ZnO can absorb light in a wider spectrum. The double layer ZnO/ZnO:Ag with various concentrations of 0.1 M, 0.3 M, and 0.5 M has been successful deposition. Double layer ZnO/ZnO:Ag deposition was carried out by sol-gel method and spray coating deposition technique. The results showed that the concentration of double layer ZnO/ZnO: Ag increased with the increase of the absorbance value. From the transmittance spectrum attempt was made to estimate the value of energy band gap of the samples. Double layer ZnO / ZnO:Ag energy gap in the range 3,2-3,3 eV. The energy gap of Double Layer ZnO/ZnO:Ag decreases with increasing concentration to 0.5 M. Double layer ZnO/ZnO: Ag 0.5 M has the smallest energy gap of 3.21 eV. Photodegradation testing was carried out to determine the ability of samples to photocatalytic activity at methylene blue dye. The optimum photocatalytic activity is indicated by the largest percentage of degradation. The largest percentage of degradation was shown by Double layer ZnO/ZnO:Ag 0.3 M at 81.5%.
Shaping Future Urbanization: A Systematic Review of Predictive and Preventive LUC Indicators for Sustainable New City Development A Ghozali, WT de Vries Urban Science 9 (11), 484 , 2025 2025 Citations: 1
Spatial Assessment of Wastewater Requirements for the New Capital City of Indonesia WT de Vries, VCA Avila, A Ghozali Revue Internationale de Geomatique 34 (1), 125-149 , 2025 2025 Citations: 3
Spatial Characterization of Flood Intensity over the Drainage Condition of East Sempaja Village, Samarinda A Ghozali, AF Rizki, U Mustofa Jurnal Presipitasi : Media Komunikasi dan Pengembangan Teknik Lingkungan 21 (3) , 2024 2024 Citations: 1
Embracing the digital era: the integration of urban design management in smart city concepts on Kertek Urban Area GL Wungo, A Ghozali, LF Rahmanida, AN Nahari, DN Noor Wahyono IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1394 (1), 012031 , 2024 2024 Citations: 1
Peningkatan Komunikasi Risiko (Risk Communication) Bencana Kebakaran di Gang Segara RT. 29 Kelurahan Klandasan Ilir Kota Balikpapan RA Pratomo, MR Jauhari, A Abimanyu, EPP Harry, NZ Muhding, ... Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat (ABDIRA) 4 (2), 41-50 , 2024 2024
Assessment of surface run-off potential in the Klandasan Kecil watershed A Ghozali, DN Tufail, FD Astanto AIP Conference Proceedings 2824 (1), 030001 , 2023 2023 Citations: 2
Spatial pattern analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic in Balikpapan city PR Girsang, N Anggraeni, NC Nabila, A Ghozali THE 7TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON TECHNOLOGY AND VOCATIONAL TEACHERS … , 2023 2023
Analisis Tingkat Pelayanan Jalan di Koridor Jalan Jenderal Sudirman–Gunung Semeru Kota Samarinda UB Mu'amanah, A Ghozali, A Prasaningtyas Ruang 9 (1), 52-61 , 2023 2023
Development of agritourism potential as an alternative form to preservation of rural environment in Samboja East Kalimantan VAG Pakalla, A Ghozali IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1098 (1), 012019 , 2022 2022 Citations: 3
Analisis intensitas dampak kejadian longsor di Kelurahan Selili, Kota Samarinda TA Hasibuan, A Ghozali SPECTA Journal of Technology 6 (2), 158-169 , 2022 2022 Citations: 3
Pola distribusi ruang terbuka hijau terhadap temperatur wilayah Kota Samarinda MAA Saputra, A Ghozali, BGP Pramesti, MQ Purwanto Citizen: Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Indonesia 2 (3), 419-436 , 2022 2022 Citations: 6
Penanganan banjir Sub-DAS posindo kota balikpapan dengan optimalisasi penyediaan infrastruktur hijau A Ghozali, RMK Yanti, AN Dewanti Jurnal Aplikasi Teknik Sipil 20 (2), 117-124 , 2022 2022 Citations: 5
Analisis Emisi Primer Gas CO2 Rumah Tangga di Kelurahan Muara Rapak, Kecamatan Balikpapan Utara, Kota Balikpapan Tahun 2020 SDB Fadhilah, A Ghozali, R Yorika Ruang, 8 (1), 47-57 , 2022 2022 Citations: 1
The effectiveness of urban mobility restriction policies on the spatio-temporal pattern of COVID-19 incidence in Balikpapan City A Ghozali, DN Tufail, PR Girsang IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1015 (1), 012004 , 2022 2022
Dampak Perubahan Tata Guna Lahan Terhadap Peningkatan Debit Banjir Pada DAS Ampal Kota Balikpapan RMK Yanti, A Ghozali, AN Dewanti Reka Ruang 5 (2), 117-126 , 2022 2022 Citations: 3
STRATEGI PENGEMBANGAN UMKM INDUSTRI PERDAGANGAN DI KAWASAN KECAMATAN BONTANG SELATAN BERDASARKAN PERSEPSI PELAKU UMKM: Lokasi Studi Kecamatan Bontang Selatan SI Krisdianto, A Ghozali Jurnal PROYEKSI: Arsitektur dan Perencanaan 2 (2), 1-9 , 2022 2022
Tipologi wilayah berdasarkan tingkat kerentanan di wilayah perkotaan Kabupaten Kutai Timur A Ghozali, E Kautsar Region: Jurnal Pembangunan Wilayah dan Perencanaan Partisipatif 17 (1), 181-198 , 2022 2022 Citations: 2
Arahan Peningkatan Kualitas Ruang Terbuka Hijau Publik Berdasarkan Persepsi Masyarakat di Kecamatan Samarinda Seberang, Kota Samarinda A Ghozali, DC Edinita Jurnal Pembangunan Wilayah dan Kota 17 (4), 444-456 , 2021 2021 Citations: 7
ANTISIPASI DAMPAK PEMBANGUNAN TERMINAL CURAH BERDASARKAN RESPON MASYARAKAT TERDAMPAK DI KABUPATEN PENAJAM PASER UTARA A Ghozali Seminar Nasional Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat (SEPAKAT) 2 , 2021 2021
Microplastic Distribution in Seawater and Sediment on Kampung Atas Air, Balikpapan A Prasaningtyas, M Wulandari, A Ghozali IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 799 (1), 012029 , 2021 2021 Citations: 3
MOST CITED SCHOLAR PUBLICATIONS
Concept of carrying capacity: Challenges in spatial planning (Case study of East Java Province, Indonesia) EB Santoso, HKDM Erli, BU Aulia, A Ghozali Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences 135, 130-135 , 2014 2014.0 Citations: 73
A comparative study of climate change mitigation and adaptation on flood management between Ayutthaya City (Thailand) and Samarinda City (Indonesia) A Ghozali, RB Sukmara, BU Aulia Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences 227, 424-429 , 2016 2016.0 Citations: 65
Analisis faktor yang berpengaruh terhadap terjadinya banjir di DAS Ampal/Klandasan Besar dan kesesuaian program dengan faktor penanganannya N Awaliyah, A Ariyaningsih, A Ghozali Jurnal Penataan Ruang 15 (2), 57-70 , 2020 2020.0 Citations: 15
21 POINTS (Pusat Oleh-Oleh Inovasi Terpadu Salak): Program Peningkatan Nilai Jual dan Variasi Produk Buah Salak Di Km 21 Balikpapan AP Putri, W Winarni, A Ghozali, D Herfandi, AD Prasetyo, A Choerunnaâ KUAT: Keuangan Umum dan Akuntansi Terapan 1 (1), 1-7 , 2019 2019.0 Citations: 9
Arahan Optimasi Penggunaan Lahan Melalui Pendekatan Telapak Ekologis di Kabupaten Gresik A Ghozali, PG Ariastita Jurnal Wilayah dan Lingkungan 1 (1), 67-78 , 2013 2013.0 Citations: 9
Arahan Peningkatan Kualitas Ruang Terbuka Hijau Publik Berdasarkan Persepsi Masyarakat di Kecamatan Samarinda Seberang, Kota Samarinda A Ghozali, DC Edinita Jurnal Pembangunan Wilayah dan Kota 17 (4), 444-456 , 2021 2021.0 Citations: 7
Pola distribusi ruang terbuka hijau terhadap temperatur wilayah Kota Samarinda MAA Saputra, A Ghozali, BGP Pramesti, MQ Purwanto Citizen: Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Indonesia 2 (3), 419-436 , 2022 2022.0 Citations: 6
Sustainable Green Settlement: The Arrangement Strategy Of Tambak Wedi Kampong Toward Sustainable Kampong A Ghozali, R Ratna, D Retno Int. J. Educ. Res 1 (12), 1-10 , 2013 2013.0 Citations: 6
Penanganan banjir Sub-DAS posindo kota balikpapan dengan optimalisasi penyediaan infrastruktur hijau A Ghozali, RMK Yanti, AN Dewanti Jurnal Aplikasi Teknik Sipil 20 (2), 117-124 , 2022 2022.0 Citations: 5
Analysis of the effect of land use on flood height in Balikpapan city (case study: Posindo sub-basin) RM Kadaryanti, AN Dewanti, A Ghozali IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering 1087 (1), 012035 , 2021 2021.0 Citations: 5
The analysis of clean water demand for land use optimization based on water resource balance in Balikpapan city A Ghozali, RMK Yanti AIP Conference Proceedings 1903 (1), 100013 , 2017 2017.0 Citations: 5
Ariyaningsih (2021) Factors influencing adequate sanitation on domestic wastewater management of black water type in Margasari village R Muliana, A Ghozali IOP conference series: earth and environmental science 778 (1), 1755-1315 , 0 Citations: 5
Optimization of settlement land use through carbon footprint approach in The North Balikpapan A Ghozali, N Hasanah, Subchan IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 340 (1), 012001 , 2019 2019.0 Citations: 4
Faktor Keseimbangan Lingkungan Terhadap Emisi Gas CO2 di Wilayah Perkotaan Gresik A Ghozali, A Pamungkas, EB Santoso Seminar Nasional Teknologi, 978-987 , 2015 2015.0 Citations: 4
Spatial Assessment of Wastewater Requirements for the New Capital City of Indonesia WT de Vries, VCA Avila, A Ghozali Revue Internationale de Geomatique 34 (1), 125-149 , 2025 2025.0 Citations: 3
Development of agritourism potential as an alternative form to preservation of rural environment in Samboja East Kalimantan VAG Pakalla, A Ghozali IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1098 (1), 012019 , 2022 2022.0 Citations: 3
Analisis intensitas dampak kejadian longsor di Kelurahan Selili, Kota Samarinda TA Hasibuan, A Ghozali SPECTA Journal of Technology 6 (2), 158-169 , 2022 2022.0 Citations: 3
Dampak Perubahan Tata Guna Lahan Terhadap Peningkatan Debit Banjir Pada DAS Ampal Kota Balikpapan RMK Yanti, A Ghozali, AN Dewanti Reka Ruang 5 (2), 117-126 , 2022 2022.0 Citations: 3
Microplastic Distribution in Seawater and Sediment on Kampung Atas Air, Balikpapan A Prasaningtyas, M Wulandari, A Ghozali IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 799 (1), 012029 , 2021 2021.0 Citations: 3
Spatial patterns of hotel’s occupation rate A Ghozali, ED Syafitri IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering 830 (2), 022081 , 2020 2020.0 Citations: 3
