Statistics and Probability, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
15
Scopus Publications
216
Scholar Citations
8
Scholar h-index
8
Scholar i10-index
Scopus Publications
Using fruit fly and dragonfly optimization algorithms to estimate the Fama-MacBeth model Mariam Jumaah Mousa, Munaf Yousif Hmood Sustainable Engineering and Innovation, 2025 This research proposes the application of the dragonfly and fruit fly algorithms to enhance estimates generated by the Fama-MacBeth model and compares their performance in this context for the first time. To specifically improve the dragonfly algorithm's effectiveness, three parameter tuning approaches are investigated: manual parameter tuning (MPT), adaptive tuning by methodology (ATY), and a novel technique called adaptive tuning by performance (APT). Additionally, the study evaluates the estimation performance using kernel weighted regression (KWR) and explores how the dragonfly and fruit fly algorithms can be employed to enhance KWR. All methods are tested using data from the Iraq Stock Exchange, based on the Fama-French three-factor model. The results show that the dragonfly algorithm, particularly when using MPT and APT, demonstrates superior performance in improving the accuracy of Fama-MacBeth estimates and enhancing the effectiveness of the KWR approach.
Soft Nonlinear Quantile-Based AI Regression Under Uncertainty Proceedings of International Conference on Applied Innovation in IT, 2025
A method of multi-dimensional variable selection for additive partial linear models Munaf Y. Hmood, Hayder Raaid Talib Chilean Journal of Statistics, 2024 In high-dimensional semiparametric regression, balancing accuracy and interpretability often requires combining dimension reduction with variable selection.This study introduces two novel methods for dimension reduction in additive partial linear models: (i) minimum average variance estimation (MAVE) combined with the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (MAVE-ALASSO) and (ii) MAVE with smoothly clipped absolute deviation (MAVE-SCAD).These methods leverage the flexibility of MAVE for sufficient dimension reduction while incorporating adaptive penalties to ensure sparse and interpretable models.The performance of both methods is evaluated through simulations using the mean squared error and variable selection criteria, assessing the correct detection of zero coefficients and the false omission of nonzero coefficients.A practical application involving financial data from the Baghdad Soft Drinks Company demonstrates their utility in identifying key predictors of stock market value.The results indicate that MAVE-SCAD performs well in high-dimensional and complex scenarios, whereas MAVE-ALASSO is better suited to small samples, producing more parsimonious models.These results highlight the effectiveness of these two methods in addressing key challenges in semiparametric modeling.
Estimation of Copula Density Using the Wavelet Transform Fatimah Hashim Falhi, Munaf Yousif Hmood Baghdad Science Journal, 2024 يقترح هذا البحث طريقة جديدة لتقدير دالة كثافة الرابطة باستخدام تحليل المويجات كطريقة لامعلمية، من أجل الحصول على نتائج أكثر دقة وخالية من مشكلة تاثيرات الحدود التي تعاني منها طرائق التقدير اللامعلمية. اذ تعد طريقة المويجات طريقة اوتماتيكية للتعامل مع تاثيرات الحدود وذلك لانها لا تأخذ بنظر الاعتبار إذا كانت السلسلة الزمنية مستقرة او غير مستقرة. ولتقدير دالة كثافة الرابطة تم استعمال المحاكاة لتوليد البيانات وباستعمال خمسة دوال رابطة مختلفة مثل Gaussian وFrank وTawn وRotation Tawn وJoe وبخمسة أحجام مختلفة للعينات عند ثلاثة مستويات ارتباط موجبة، واعتمادًا على الحلول المتعددة، أظهرت النتائج أن تقدير دالة الكثافة الرابطة بطريقة المويجات عندما يكون مستوى الارتباط كانت الرابطة Gaussian في المرتبة الأولى تليها الرابطةFrank واحتلت الرابطة Joe المرتبة الأخيرة. اما في حالة الارتباطات المتوسطة والضعيفة كانت الرابطة Tawn في المرتبة الأولى تليها الرابطة Rotation Tawn في حين جاءت Gaussian بالمرتبة الأخيرة. بالاعتماد على المعايير (Root Mean Square Error, Akiake Information Criteria, and Logarithm likelihood criteria) ، وتبين من خلال الرسم (Contour plot) والشكل ثلاثي الابعاد (3D plot) لدوال الرابطة الحقيقية. فضلا عن اشكال التمهيد لكل منها باستخدام طريقة (ECDWT)، ويتضح من خلال الاشكال الدائرية ان توزيع مشاهدات الدالة الرابطة المقدرة بطريقة (ECDWT) كان دقيقا عند الاطراف بينما كان اقل دقة عند المركز لكل من الدوال Gaussian وTawn.
Continuous wavelet estimation for multivariate fractional Brownian motion Munaf Y. Hmood, Amjed Hibatallah Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research, 2022 In this paper, we propose a method using continuous wavelets to study the multivariate fractional Brownian motion through the deviations of the transformed random process to find an efficient estimate of Hurst exponent using eigenvalue regression of the covariance matrix. The results of simulations experiments shown that the performance of the proposed estimator was efficient in bias but the variance get increase as signal change from short to long memory the MASE increase relatively. The estimation process was made by calculating the eigenvalues for the variance-covariance matrix of Meyer’s continuous wavelet details coefficients.
ESTIMATING NONPARAMETRIC AUTOREGRESSIVE CURVE BY SMOOTHING SPLINES METHOD International Journal of Agricultural and Statistical Sciences, 2021
Comparison between VG-levy and Kernel Function Estimation with Application Mariam Jumaah Mousa, Munaf Yousif Hmood, Ali Ghena Nori Periodicals of Engineering and Natural Sciences, 2021 In this article, we present the variance Gamma Levy model that was obtained from the Brownian motion Gamma with their parameter estimation methods (Maximum Likelihood (MLE) and method of moments (MME)). Then, we compare them with Kernel density function depending on MASE. Our application concerned with the Apple company that is listed on the Nasdaq, their data are suitable for the VG-Levy model and achieved the proper conditions of Levy of stability and independence, which means that Apple company was efficient in providing the information to investors. The aim of studying the price fluctuations through the parameters of the model and thus the possibility of knowing the trends of stock prices in the financial markets and the consequent risks associated with investing in them in a manner consistent with the investor's preferences regarding bearing a certain degree of risk in the sense of a pre-preparedness for the potential sacrifice of the investor's capital with the limits of risk resulting from those fluctuations in prices for the returns resulting from price movements in those markets., So it was found that the VG-levy model with MLE is the best.
Discrete wavelet based estimator for the Hurst parameter of multivariate fractional Brownian motion Munaf Yousif Hmood, Amjad Hibtallah Hamza Journal of Physics Conference Series, 2021 In this paper, wavelets were used to study the multivariate fractional Brownian motion through the deviations of the random process to find an efficient estimation of Hurst exponent. The results of simulations experiments were shown that the performance of the proposed estimator was efficient. The estimation process was made by taking advantage of the detail coefficients stationarity from the wavelet transform, as the variance of this coefficient showed the power-low behavior. We use two wavelet filters (Haar and db5) to manage minimizing the mean square error of the model.
CUSTOM ANALYSIS THROUGH Nth ORDER GAUSSIAN NOISE International Journal of Agricultural and Statistical Sciences, 2021
A Fuzzy ARDL Model for Estimating the Dynamic Relationship between Government Revenues and Fiscal Balance SH Jawad, MY Hmood Statistics, Optimization & Information Computing , 2026 2026
Forecasting public expenditures using ARDL–LSTM hybrid model MY Hmood, SH Jawad Iraqi Statisticians Journal 3 (1), 245-254 , 2026 2026
New Probability Distribution for Lifetime Data Analysis MY Hmood, AH Noori Proceedings of the International Conference on Applied Innovations in IT … , 2026 2026
Estimating Error Distribution Using Single Index Model MY Hmood, RAA Suhail Proceedings of the International Conference on Applied Innovations in IT … , 2026 2026
The Impact of Financial Sustainability and Structural Transformation on Investments using QARDL Model Optimized by the Marine Predator Algorithm MY Hmood, MJ Mousa Iraqi Statisticians Journal 3 (1), 180-192 , 2026 2026
A Monte Carlo Simulation Study on the Performance of Linear and Quadratic Programming Estimators in Fuzzy ARDL Models SH Jawad, MY Hmood Iraqi Statisticians Journal 3 (1), 167-179 , 2026 2026
Soft Nonlinear Quantile-Based AI Regression Under Uncertainty E Baha, MY Hmood, S Al-Duais Fuad, AK Hussein Proceedings of the International Conference on Applied Innovations in IT … , 2025 2025
The Evolution of Estimation Methods and Applications of the Fama- MacBeth Model : A Review MY Hmood, MJ Mousa Iraqi Statisticians Journal 2 (2), 103-113 , 2025 2025
A Modified Fama-MacBeth Model based on the Single-Index Model MJ Mousa, MY Hmood Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences 31 (149), 73-91 , 2025 2025 Citations: 1
Using fruit fly and dragonfly optimization algorithms to estimate theFama-MacBeth model MJ Mousa, MY Hmood Sustainable Engineering and Innovation 7 (2), 391-402 , 2025 2025
َQuantitative Methods and Their Applications in SPSS MY Hmood, QN Al-Qazaz, F Mohana, SA Salih Dar Shams Al-Andalus-Iraq , 2025 2025
CROSS-SECTIONAL REGRESSION WITH PROXIES: A SEMI-PARAMETRIC METHOD MJ Mousa, MY Hmood International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies 17 (1), 46-64 , 2025 2025 Citations: 2
Gold Global Price Prediction Using a Hybrid Algorithm Based on Fuzzy Long Short-Term Memory (FLSTM) AA Salih, MY Hmood Letter Notes in Network and Systems , 2025 2025
Estimating General Linear Regression Model of Big Data by Using Multiple Test Technique AM Salih, MY Hmood Iraqi Statisticians Journal 2 (Special issu), 337-343 , 2025 2025
Nonparametric Estimation For Nonstationary Time Series Models MA Husseen, MY Hmood Iraqi Statisticians Journal 2 (Special issue), 197-205 , 2025 2025 Citations: 1
Forecasting mortality rates using the Lee-Carter fuzzy model for the period (2024-2026) with application MY Hmood, AY Hamed Al-Anbar university magazine for administrative economic science 16 (3), 92-109 , 2025 2025
Differential Equations MY Hmood, AliJizany, LMALI Hameed 2025
Utilizing the Error Correction Model to Investigate the Impact of Fluctuations in Bank Deposits on the Money Supply MY Hmood, MA Hussein Journal of Al-Rafidain University College For Sciences, 545-556 , 2024 2024 Citations: 3
A method of multi-dimensional variable selection for the additive partial linear model MY Hmood, HR Talib Chilean Journal of Statistics 15 (2), 126-146 , 2024 2024
Oil Price Prediction Using a Hybrid Algorithm Based on Recurrent Fuzzy Neural Networks (RFNN) MYH Ahmed A. Salih AIP Conference Proceedings (ISSN: 0094-243X, 1551-7616) , 2024 2024
MOST CITED SCHOLAR PUBLICATIONS
Analyzing big data sets by using different panelized regression methods with application: surveys of multidimensional poverty in Iraq MYH Ahmed Mahdi Salih Periodicals of Engineering and Natural Sciences 8 (2), 991-999 , 2020 2020 Citations: 18
Big Data Analysis by Using One Covariate at a Time Multiple Testing (OCMT) Method: Early School Dropout in Iraq MY Hmood, AM Salih International Journal of Nonlinear Analysis and Applications (IJNAA) 12 (2 … , 2021 2021 Citations: 16
A Comparison of the Semiparametric Estimators Model Using Different Smoothing Methods MY Hmood, MM Katee Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences 20 (75), 376-394 , 2014 2014 Citations: 15
Comparing Nonparametric Estimators For Probability Density Estimation MY Hmood PhD Dissertation; University of Baghdad; Baghdad; Iraq , 2005 2005 Citations: 13
Comparison of Hurst exponent estimation methods AH Hamza, MY Hmood Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences 27 (128), 167-183 , 2021 2021 Citations: 12
Nonstationary time series models using ARDL and NARDL estimation MA Hussein, MY Hmood Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences 30 (141), 439-456 , 2024 2024 Citations: 11
Bayesian and non-Bayesian estimation of the Lomax model based on upper record values under weighted LINEX loss function FS Al-Duais, MY Hmood Periodicals of Engineering and Natural Sciences 8 (3), 1786-1794 , 2020 2020 Citations: 10
Comparing Nonparametric Kernel estimators for Estimating Regression Function MY Hmood Ms.c Thesis; Department of Statistics; College of Administration and … , 2000 2000 Citations: 10
A comparison Of Some Semiparametric Estimators For consumption function Regression MY Hmood, AM Essa Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences 18 (67), 273-288 , 2012 2012 Citations: 8
Continuous wavelet estimation for multivariate fractional Brownian motion AH Hamza, MY Hmood Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research 18 (3), 633-641 , 2022 2022 Citations: 7
Estimation of Return Stock Rate by Using Wavelet and Kernel Smoothers YA Hassan, MY Hmood Periodicals of Engineering and Natural Sciences 8 (2), 602-612 , 2020 2020 Citations: 7
Nadaraya-Watson Estimator a Smoothing Technique for Estimating Regression Function HR Dhafir, MY Hmood, Saad, K. H. Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences 18 (65), 283-291 , 2012 2012 Citations: 7
A New Version of Local Linear Estimators MY Hmood, U Stadtmuller Chilean Journal of Statistics 4 (2), 61-74 , 2013 2013 Citations: 6
Discrete wavelet based estimator for the Hurst parameter of multivariate fractional Brownian motion MY Hmood, AH Hamza Journal of Physics: Conference Series ,Ibn Al-Haitham International … , 2021 2021 Citations: 5
Compared Some of Penalized Methods in Analysis the Semi-Parametric Single Index Model with Practical Application MY Hmood, TA Salih Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences 22 (90), 407-427 , 2016 2016 Citations: 5
On Single Index Semiparametric Model MY Hmood Journal of Statistical Sciences, 1-17 , 2015 2015 Citations: 5
Estimate the Nonparametric Regression Function Using canonical Kernel MY Hmood Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences 17 (61), 212-225 , 2011 2011 Citations: 5
Comparison between some methods for Estimation and Variables Selection for Semi – Parametric Additive model with practical application HR Talib, MY Hmood Al-Kut Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences 14 (44), 405–426 , 2022 2022 Citations: 4
Estimate the Partial Linear Model Using Wavelet and Kernel Smoothers YAH Munaf Yousif Hmood Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences 26 (119), 428-443 , 2020 2020 Citations: 4
Using Simulation to Compare Between Parametric and Nonparametric Transfer Function Model YKB Munaf Yousif Hmood Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences 24 (104), 298-313 , 2018 2018 Citations: 4