Multidisciplinary, Computer Engineering, Environmental Engineering, Information Systems
23
Scopus Publications
Scopus Publications
A Modular Spatial–Temporal Approach for Territorial Segmentation and Short-Term Crime Prediction Elvira Rolón, José G. Méndez, Roberto Pichardo Appliedmath, 2026 Crime forecasting in heterogeneous urban contexts remains challenging due to the combined effects of territorial heterogeneity and complex temporal dynamics. However, a large portion of the existing literature tends to address territorial segmentation and predictive modeling separately, or to combine them within unified workflows that may obscure their distinct analytical roles. This study presents a modular spatial–temporal analytical approach that treats territorial segmentation and short-term crime prediction as complementary but methodologically independent components. Unsupervised segmentation captures territorial heterogeneity, while a supervised ensemble model estimates short-term crime occurrence. A chronological expanding-window validation scheme is implemented, reserving the most recent period as a blind test set to prevent temporal leakage. Across municipalities, recall values in 2022 range from 0.36 to 0.77, with corresponding F1-scores ranging from 0.174 to 0.696, while blind-test recall ranges from 0.184 to 0.856, with F1-scores ranging from 0.000 to 0.784, and AUC values up to 0.88, indicating that predictive performance is context-dependent rather than uniform. The proposed approach provides a replicable and context-aware analytical approach for spatially differentiated crime risk estimation under strict forward-looking evaluation.
Are there any Differences in the Way that Software Engineers Perceive their Productivity Depending on their Work Style? Gabriela Aranda, Aurora Vizcaíno, Juan Pablo Soto, Elvira Rolón, Kelly Garcés, Félix O. García Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, 2026 In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, remote working seemed here to stay. However, attempts to return to working in the office are currently being made, mainly by large multinationals. We therefore set out to investigate software-industry workers’ opinions of their productivity in their current work mode. This paper presents the results of surveys applied to software engineers from Mexico, Spain, Colombia and Argentina with the purpose of analysing how they perceive their productivity and that of their team when working either partially or totally in a remote manner. The results indicate that most of the respondents prefer to work remotely. Furthermore, according to their perception, their productivity and that of their team is, in general, equal or superior to that achieved in the office.
How do software engineers perceive their productivity when working remotely? Cibse 2025 28th Ibero American Conference on Software Engineering, 2025
Water Quality Monitoring Systems Based on Intelligent Agents: A Systematic Literature Review Adrian Vázquez Osorio, Carlos Armando Soto Barrera, Juan Pablo Soto, Elvira Rolón Aguilar, Julio César Rolón Aguilar Proceedings of the Special Session 2018 17th Mexican International Conference on Artificial Intelligence Micai 2018, 2018 Water is a vital resource for life; however, although most of the planet is covered with water, only a small percentage corresponds to fresh water. Also, a low per-centage of fresh water corresponds to drinking water, that is, water useful for human consumption. Despite this, the society has been contaminating the sources of fresh water, reducing more and more the amount of water available for human use. This paper presents a systematic literature review on the various modern mechanisms to monitor water quality, through the use of technology to take measurements and the use of storage devices. A comparison is made between studies regarding in this topic and a set of stands of work is proposed to be de-veloped in the future. This review may guide the reader about the basis of availa-ble of information and communication technologies and their application in man-agement systems to monitor water quality, in order to facilitate the search for planning and design of sustainable new system.
Rapid prototype of the expert system to environmental quality indicators estimation Lecture Notes in Engineering and Computer Science, 2018
Towards a Framework for Evaluating Usability of Business Process Models with BPMN in Health Sector Elvira Rolón, Gabriel Chavira, Jorge Orozco, Juan Pablo Soto Procedia Manufacturing, 2015 The importance of the analysis, modelling and management of a business process is not restricted to a specific enterprise sector. In the field of health management, as a result of the nature of the service offered, health institutions’ processes are also the basis for decision making which is focused on achieving their objective of providing quality medical assistance. Business processes in hospitals are very complex and variable. BPMN (Business Process Model and Notation) is a user-oriented language specifically designed for the modelling of business (organizational) processes. The objective of this work is to show the experience obtained in the creation of the conceptual models of certain hospital processes which can be used as a basis for others in collaboration with hospitals in order to model their processes using BPMN. In first instance, the processes were modeled with purposes to apply metrics for measuring the usability as a software quality attribute according to standard ISO 9126. The next challenge is to evaluate the usability of the models from the point of view of the user according to standard ISO 9241-11 that defines usability as “the extent to which a product can be used by specified users to achieve specified goals with effectiveness, efficiency and satisfaction in a specified context of use”. Starting from usability engineering, a proposal of a framework that considers evaluation criteria about previously modeled processes with BPMN results necessary. In order to achieve the framework are considered studies on the usability evaluation for business process modeling tools and languages.
A multi-agent system to avoid heatstroke in young children left in baby car seats inside vehicles Juan Pablo Soto Barrera, Gilberto Munoz Sandoval, Guadalupe Cota Ortiz, Roberto Nunez Gonzalez, Elvira Rolon Aguilar Proceedings 2014 International Conference on Computational Science and Computational Intelligence Csci 2014, 2014 Despite the efforts of organizations, institutions, car makers, car seat manufacturers and consumer groups to alert parents about the safety threat heatstroke poses for young children left in hot vehicles the number of victims each year is increasing. In fact, one child dies from heatstroke nearly every 10 days from being left in a hot vehicle. For this reason, this work focuses on using current technology to help prevent such fatalities. We have used intelligent agents, which have proved to be rather efficient since they can monitor, coordinate events and disseminate information as well as communicate with each other. We have developed a multi-agent architecture that detects when young children left in child safety seats inside vehicles are at high risk of heatstroke and sends an alert message to the driver's smartphone. The design of the architecture using the INGENIAS methodology is described.
Formal definition of measures for BPMN models Luis Reynoso, Elvira Rolón, Marcela Genero, Félix García, Francisco Ruiz, Mario Piattini Lecture Notes in Computer Science Including Subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics, 2009
Prediction models for BPMN usability and maintainability Elvira Rolon, Laura Sanchez, Félix Garcia, Francisco Ruiz, Mario Piattini, Danilo Caivano, Giuseppe Visaggio 2009 IEEE Conference on Commerce and Enterprise Computing CEC 2009, 2009
Healthcare Process Development with BPMN Elvira Rolón, Félix García, Francisco Ruíz, Mario Piattini, Luis Calahorra Handbook of Research on Developments in E Health and Telemedicine Technological and Social Perspectives Volumes 1 2, 2009
Process modeling of the health sector using bpmn: A case study Healthinf 2008 1st International Conference on Health Informatics Proceedings, 2008
Evaluation of BPMN models quality A family of experiments Enase 2008 Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Evaluation of Novel Approaches to Software Engineering, 2008
Exploratory experiment to validate measures for business process models Vi Jornadas Iberoamericanas De Ingenieria De Software E Ingenieria Del Conocimiento 2007 Jiisic 2007, 2007
Validating Usability and Maintainability of Business Process Models: An Experiment and its Reply Memorias 10th Workshop Iberoamericano De Ingenieria De Requisitos Y Ambientes De Software Ideas 2007, 2007
Metrics for the Evaluation of Models Business Process Actas Ideas 2006 9th Workshop Iberoamericano De Ingenieria De Requisitos Y Ambientes De Software, 2006
Towards a suite of metrics for business process models in BPMN Iceis 2006 8th International Conference on Enterprise Information Systems Proceedings, 2006
